Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 66.071835 74.734610 83.627289 93.405785 103.824638 114.564068 126.440865
2025-06-01 52.969267 65.369921 78.709820 93.992854 110.890289 128.884916 149.382534
2025-06-08 44.048476 58.283456 74.162381 92.910532 114.183024 137.338578 164.225286
2025-06-15 38.666545 54.374176 72.445598 94.313278 119.636592 147.666984 180.682111
2025-06-22 34.466933 51.297157 71.212355 95.836369 124.851337 157.418335 196.225954
2025-06-29 29.813245 47.160658 68.303260 95.022693 127.051031 163.486752 207.386492
2025-07-06 25.217552 42.630780 64.530392 92.833310 127.344223 167.122280 215.559313
2025-07-13 23.713904 41.990641 65.474056 96.276790 134.252849 178.391035 232.495248
2025-07-20 21.823045 40.633001 65.358627 98.292470 139.354670 187.480418 246.862731
2025-07-27 19.220049 38.033871 63.442546 97.890606 141.389607 192.848295 256.805927
2025-08-03 16.775190 35.425437 61.332811 97.090122 142.812395 197.393477 265.707495
2025-08-10 15.061457 33.744534 60.355165 97.653174 145.853945 203.829959 276.812549
2025-08-17 13.111636 31.530100 58.541082 97.066171 147.442461 208.538708 285.931712
2025-08-24 11.635869 29.927741 57.487789 97.415890 150.170776 214.613383 296.685867
2025-08-31 9.940882 27.755346 55.470140 96.350654 150.998342 218.288882 304.498100
2025-09-07 9.048967 26.890048 55.311066 97.777035 155.012970 225.883893 317.052628
2025-09-14 8.270576 26.143162 55.274072 99.333654 159.173936 233.650947 329.818704
2025-09-21 7.046865 24.387157 53.587691 98.502484 160.143397 237.393710 337.644131
2025-09-28 5.691587 22.142653 50.990849 96.266209 159.165186 238.624728 342.336571
2025-10-05 5.530528 22.404447 52.398807 99.783279 165.871203 249.572103 359.018747
2025-10-12 5.124434 22.071978 52.811481 101.841532 170.614325 258.035547 372.645618
2025-10-19 4.353392 20.780800 51.570082 101.431210 171.992933 262.198658 380.935372
2025-10-26 3.610966 19.404330 50.096786 100.613834 172.772530 265.565208 388.214424